tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27262692850978258062024-03-18T21:45:27.403-07:00The Complete Coverage ReportDarahhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16478120790940269341noreply@blogger.comBlogger126125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2726269285097825806.post-70568839314986072212016-10-03T10:52:00.002-07:002016-10-04T03:29:47.666-07:00Charts from Today<span style="font-size: large;">GDX is beginning to crack. See for yourself.</span><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgbvPKEWd6AJQ7niwMhiRR_rmDRjn7oA6-5VP9Wmyjc29gtR6-ULJvCnymUl7cXhzhrts4O7HU4PRQBOyzIydB138SGpHh3vKZixnnHRKCKn0CXCa07BmPhyD-VLQJGDwMbFJYqj22a3mZ9/s1600/GDX.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><span style="font-size: large;"><img border="0" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgbvPKEWd6AJQ7niwMhiRR_rmDRjn7oA6-5VP9Wmyjc29gtR6-ULJvCnymUl7cXhzhrts4O7HU4PRQBOyzIydB138SGpHh3vKZixnnHRKCKn0CXCa07BmPhyD-VLQJGDwMbFJYqj22a3mZ9/s640/GDX.png" width="640" /></span></a><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;">Silver is too. Take a look.</span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjRN-kcBZK4zGV1YuodDAocUUu37IgPb4S1PHxBEk1QixrwU_WPSGOVg9x5WWGXw_OidDKP2Lr-YiCV8ykXmrNB8074-SBr4XspRd9XVJf-HCr9h0g4cJbIdT0u4rxmN-Rk1bvgMAueiO29/s1600/Silver.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjRN-kcBZK4zGV1YuodDAocUUu37IgPb4S1PHxBEk1QixrwU_WPSGOVg9x5WWGXw_OidDKP2Lr-YiCV8ykXmrNB8074-SBr4XspRd9XVJf-HCr9h0g4cJbIdT0u4rxmN-Rk1bvgMAueiO29/s640/Silver.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<span style="font-size: large;">Stay tuned, more to come next week. </span></div>
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<span style="font-size: large;">Darah</span>
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<br />Darahhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16478120790940269341noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2726269285097825806.post-12109800654627223162016-07-31T17:19:00.000-07:002016-07-31T17:19:33.659-07:00Gold and GDX Are Doing The Complete Opposite.<div>
<span style="font-family: "calibri" , sans-serif; font-size: 16.0pt;">
<br />
<span style="font-family: "calibri" , sans-serif; font-size: 16.0pt;">The market is full of bloggers
who write their own forecast. They’ll tell you one thing, and then another.
Some will call it early, some will call it late. Some call it late because
they’re afraid to call it period.</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "calibri" , sans-serif; font-size: 16.0pt;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: "calibri" , sans-serif; font-size: 16.0pt;">But, what you don’t know is the
trend. The trend dictates direction. Direction tells you where.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Direction tells you everything. </span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-family: "calibri" , sans-serif; font-size: 16.0pt;">The Gold market is in a BULL
market. The long-term trend is up. The intermediate trend is up. The short term
trend is down. </span><br />
<span style="font-family: "calibri" , sans-serif; font-size: 16.0pt;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: "calibri" , sans-serif; font-size: 16.0pt;"></span><span style="font-family: "calibri" , sans-serif; font-size: 16.0pt;">Name a point in time when levels
of bullish sentiment were at extremes, and you have the majority of people
calling for a top? </span><br />
<span style="font-family: "calibri" , sans-serif; font-size: 16.0pt;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: "calibri" , sans-serif; font-size: 16.0pt;">It just doesn’t happen. </span><br />
<span style="font-family: "calibri" , sans-serif; font-size: 16.0pt;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: "calibri" , sans-serif; font-size: 16.0pt;">Take GDX for example. GDX has
extended to marginal highs, but if you look closer, its individual counterparts
are struggling. GDX is made up of 49 stocks, 21 of which have reached new
highs. The other 28 have not. </span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-family: "calibri" , sans-serif; font-size: 16.0pt;">Those numbers aren’t terribly
bad. They’re also not great either. And if GDX goes higher, those numbers are
subject to change. I know.</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "calibri" , sans-serif; font-size: 16.0pt;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: "calibri" , sans-serif; font-size: 16.0pt;">But, this ETF is cap weighted.
And its top 10 holdings account for nearly 61%. </span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-family: "calibri" , sans-serif; font-size: 16.0pt;">Only 4 out of the 10 stocks have
reached new highs. 3 out of those 4 are ranked in the bottom half. </span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-family: "calibri" , sans-serif; font-size: 16.0pt;">Can these numbers change? Sure.
But if another stock, or group of stocks break to new highs it does not project
a bullish outlook. It’s called front running. </span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-family: "calibri" , sans-serif; font-size: 16.0pt;">Front running is a trap. And a
very costly one. Front running makes you think what isn’t. Front running is
also short lived. </span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-family: "calibri" , sans-serif; font-size: 16.0pt;">The culprit will be the dollar.</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "calibri" , sans-serif; font-size: 16.0pt;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: "calibri" , sans-serif; font-size: 16.0pt;">From 2014-2015, the dollar
rallied for 10 consecutive months. Today it suggests nothing short of a
consolidation. Its intermediate trend is up, and still looks very bullish. It
too will rise.</span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-family: "calibri" , sans-serif; font-size: 16.0pt;">Monthly Chart:</span></span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "calibri" , sans-serif; font-size: 16.0pt;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjDCF4g7h0IYRfXnQvB2ipe3aqOWxH0hwJXtKciuF0h9U_BeTgocMxMvZrD8rsToO5NIlwuXaAlCgFoV_GDvxj9ZuJAeL2HqD6MMDeT5qj-K2Ve_dEnVogNKFoIBcQ_Oj2x0nWwdiBBwiwP/s1600/Dollar.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="302" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjDCF4g7h0IYRfXnQvB2ipe3aqOWxH0hwJXtKciuF0h9U_BeTgocMxMvZrD8rsToO5NIlwuXaAlCgFoV_GDvxj9ZuJAeL2HqD6MMDeT5qj-K2Ve_dEnVogNKFoIBcQ_Oj2x0nWwdiBBwiwP/s640/Dollar.png" width="640" /></a></span></div>
<span style="font-family: "calibri" , sans-serif; font-size: 16.0pt;">
</span>
<br />
<br />
<span style="font-family: "calibri" , sans-serif; font-size: 16.0pt;">The next few weeks should go
something like this. GDX attempts to rally a wee bit higher. But, anything
higher is only to form a top. Then comes the selling. </span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-family: "calibri" , sans-serif; font-size: 16.0pt;">And the correction coming is not
going to be pretty. It’s not going to be short. It’s going to last for several
months, and run late into this year. It’s also just around the corner.</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "calibri" , sans-serif; font-size: 16.0pt;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: "calibri" , sans-serif; font-size: 16.0pt;">GDX Weekly Chart:</span><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgZ_fJV7KdMIF1ixLM2GLQXf4ckcxnZ3yXSRCmytd6b3qcWKlp9-OU8agFzGepMxctkosP1AIim9ZjZ1MwbH-18hwh8BiC2YicIbVLFKF00cZjm4XQlsJJuHWIzlfLpcwxg6a9pQpgCPwMF/s1600/GDX.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="302" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgZ_fJV7KdMIF1ixLM2GLQXf4ckcxnZ3yXSRCmytd6b3qcWKlp9-OU8agFzGepMxctkosP1AIim9ZjZ1MwbH-18hwh8BiC2YicIbVLFKF00cZjm4XQlsJJuHWIzlfLpcwxg6a9pQpgCPwMF/s640/GDX.png" width="640" /></a></div>
<span style="font-family: "calibri" , sans-serif; font-size: 16.0pt;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;">Darah <o:p></o:p></span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "calibri";"><br /></span>
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Darahhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16478120790940269341noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2726269285097825806.post-42736868418957360922016-06-26T12:37:00.000-07:002016-06-26T12:37:09.639-07:00GDX and Gold Rally is Suspect<span style="line-height: 110%;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">The
volatility on Friday created a technical aberration. </span><span style="font-size: x-large; mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><span style="font-size: x-large;">Still, the overall picture hasn’t changed.</span></span><span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 110%;"> </span><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhumSzD6Puw_kXU1whj7zs8XQjuWTTFvz-O192iohF64UkzhojtnjDjQ1W2JVSaxLyx56uZMxY9gQXxBAn8f1fezd7YMeweQbo1G43SW5gSnc1qbP5GU0AANu8VY1i-A0W5WnZxdkLs2mQU/s1600/GDX.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="302" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhumSzD6Puw_kXU1whj7zs8XQjuWTTFvz-O192iohF64UkzhojtnjDjQ1W2JVSaxLyx56uZMxY9gQXxBAn8f1fezd7YMeweQbo1G43SW5gSnc1qbP5GU0AANu8VY1i-A0W5WnZxdkLs2mQU/s640/GDX.png" width="640" /></a></div>
<br />
<div style="margin: 0in 0in 6pt;">
<span style="font-size: x-large; line-height: 110%;">It
will also be pretty difficult for Gold to overcome the 50 MONTH moving average, on the
first try.</span><span style="font-size: x-large; line-height: 110%;"> </span><br />
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br /></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiLvK2ZLfU5M_MxDp9duML0sdrPfBla0FDEJFXEb_Lr73ceR4qUWMpXAS778zkPMwOTpBWCgzGKFACe7T4G1v3-Cr6gu4_xatBX7nvwYGpzDpYnWLqjKsuuMOO7q5VdJtVspMWr9V_R3g69/s1600/GLD.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="302" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiLvK2ZLfU5M_MxDp9duML0sdrPfBla0FDEJFXEb_Lr73ceR4qUWMpXAS778zkPMwOTpBWCgzGKFACe7T4G1v3-Cr6gu4_xatBX7nvwYGpzDpYnWLqjKsuuMOO7q5VdJtVspMWr9V_R3g69/s640/GLD.png" width="640" /></a></div>
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: "calibri";">The Complete Coverage Report offers two subscriptions—$9.95/month or $100/year. It is well worth the information received.</span></span><br /><span style="font-family: "calibri";"><a href="http://www.thecompletecoveragereport.blogspot.com/"><span style="color: #ffa114;">www.thecompletecoveragereport.blogspot.com</span></a></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;">Darah <o:p></o:p></span><br />
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<span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 110%;"><br /></span></div>
<b></b><i></i><u></u><sub></sub><sup></sup><strike></strike>Darahhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16478120790940269341noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2726269285097825806.post-56919712768616995192016-06-10T09:00:00.001-07:002016-06-10T09:00:38.567-07:00GDX Topping<span style="font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 107%;">Very good chance the GDX has topped today, or will next week. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Be watching for gap fills on the way down.
Also note, this correction should be much bigger.</span><br />
<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj-1E-KfHpq4c41n7T1gf82kkYxN38KhQ9UEP1wnRPLxPGLsiFbAHLcwxTjHKHCAVMxX8IpmHLbvtzK40P0MeSzW3Px74VciRS6ZKRDm-79ak4SureyATQ5mo2QnC5JyWGtsuyZ1AM58LBE/s1600/GDX+daily.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="302" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj-1E-KfHpq4c41n7T1gf82kkYxN38KhQ9UEP1wnRPLxPGLsiFbAHLcwxTjHKHCAVMxX8IpmHLbvtzK40P0MeSzW3Px74VciRS6ZKRDm-79ak4SureyATQ5mo2QnC5JyWGtsuyZ1AM58LBE/s640/GDX+daily.png" width="640" /></a></div>
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: "calibri";">The Complete Coverage Report offers two subscriptions—$9.95/month or $100/year. It is well worth the information received.</span></span><br /><span style="font-family: "calibri";"><a href="http://www.thecompletecoveragereport.blogspot.com/"><span style="color: #ffa114;">www.thecompletecoveragereport.blogspot.com</span></a></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;">Darah <o:p></o:p></span><br />
<br />
<b></b><i></i><u></u><sub></sub><sup></sup><strike></strike>Darahhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16478120790940269341noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2726269285097825806.post-71877990153216994852016-05-25T05:21:00.001-07:002016-05-25T05:21:27.523-07:00Chart of the Day<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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<span style="font-family: "calibri"; font-size: x-large;">The market has completed its correction and now on course to new highs. Be watching the next resistance zone between 2130 and 2180.</span><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgQTDiKLKPBnHV0mzpdz4lG_J0lLqi24x-sRC9TfWtTKFALh30Vv8WwK6otdJVMfFk3GHZ3wh3Ycn3E5xR-iy0SksvHbOaBIJbhzZSRaQiubeHtf6L7GfkC9VP4FE6QkwRRmyZISm5cTiSy/s1600/chart+of+the+day.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="299" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgQTDiKLKPBnHV0mzpdz4lG_J0lLqi24x-sRC9TfWtTKFALh30Vv8WwK6otdJVMfFk3GHZ3wh3Ycn3E5xR-iy0SksvHbOaBIJbhzZSRaQiubeHtf6L7GfkC9VP4FE6QkwRRmyZISm5cTiSy/s640/chart+of+the+day.png" width="640" /></a></div>
<br />
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: "calibri";">The Complete Coverage Report offers two subscriptions—$9.95/month or $100/year. It is well worth the information received.</span></span><br /><span style="font-family: "calibri";"><a href="http://www.thecompletecoveragereport.blogspot.com/"><span style="color: #ffa114;">www.thecompletecoveragereport.blogspot.com</span></a></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;">Darah <o:p></o:p></span><b></b><i></i><u></u><sub></sub><sup></sup><strike></strike>Darahhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16478120790940269341noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2726269285097825806.post-90569245009748517922016-04-10T18:06:00.000-07:002016-04-10T18:08:13.532-07:00Market Update<span style="font-size: 18.0pt; line-height: 110%;">The warning did not come until Thursday, when price had several attempts to rally, but instead dropped to its previous low. Now after two failures, a third test of the lows would undoubtedly break support and send price in a precipitous decline. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;">S&P 500- 4 hour chart</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: 18.0pt; line-height: 110%;"></span><br />
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<span style="font-size: 18.0pt; line-height: 110%;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjAjDaKN8CPo4ZQ3M-skZ7-1_jKN-vraG8zTBEDhqy97tylW2GgzmkOJTr4EIqlaiyDvMF9icNRH7lfS9d1aOBDyAP-9l9pKgwiHjjDWeoYyMzBpJYBsoqk0BEhCHWw6eot3P5zREohNnUh/s1600/Chart+1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="299" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjAjDaKN8CPo4ZQ3M-skZ7-1_jKN-vraG8zTBEDhqy97tylW2GgzmkOJTr4EIqlaiyDvMF9icNRH7lfS9d1aOBDyAP-9l9pKgwiHjjDWeoYyMzBpJYBsoqk0BEhCHWw6eot3P5zREohNnUh/s640/Chart+1.png" width="640" /></a></span></div>
<br />
<span style="font-size: 18.0pt; line-height: 110%;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: 18.0pt; line-height: 110%;">Other clues came during the last 2-3 weeks of the advance, when price would accelerate to new highs, but after a few days a minor correction occurred. The pattern now has formed several mini peaks along the way, indicating momentum loss. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;">S&P 500- 4 hour (chart 2)</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgOVLmsAiK1etR0SCdPL3XNcw8KISJUlVvlBmajn-53Qt8W5wywfNgH9pemPiOdoUMi4alolCRu_n9KlozOV3LO4uqyF8D5QXi_X1jB5QhOTwNWRCXRGd8ILBKN92ebwhyphenhyphenr9ygYhle-nqor/s1600/Chart+2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="300" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgOVLmsAiK1etR0SCdPL3XNcw8KISJUlVvlBmajn-53Qt8W5wywfNgH9pemPiOdoUMi4alolCRu_n9KlozOV3LO4uqyF8D5QXi_X1jB5QhOTwNWRCXRGd8ILBKN92ebwhyphenhyphenr9ygYhle-nqor/s640/Chart+2.png" width="640" /></a></div>
<span style="font-size: 18.0pt; line-height: 110%;"> <u></u> <u></u><u></u></span><br />
<span style="font-size: 18.0pt; line-height: 110%;">Technically, since we are still in an uptrend, there is the possibility of a final short-squeeze to higher highs. Anything upward of 20, even 50 points would theoretically take the S&P into May for a top. The result would be a divergent peak, indicating the rally is a bad one. It would also be the best scenario for the bulls - as price would form an even larger top, providing enough time for everyone to get out. In any case, whether we drop immediately, or continue on, the coming decline should lead to a 2-4 week sell off.</span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-size: 18.0pt; line-height: 110%;">Stay tuned, more to come next week. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: 18.0pt; line-height: 110%;">Darah</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: large;">http://thecompletecoveragereport.blogspot.com</span><br />
<b></b>Darahhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16478120790940269341noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2726269285097825806.post-82665945474921798462013-07-04T19:47:00.000-07:002013-07-05T05:12:55.112-07:00ALL THE WRONG REASONS!<br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">While most 4<sup>th</sup>
rate analysts unwittingly misdirect you into watching for a big dollar collapse
and cling on to its alleged correlation to gold, all you have to do is look
back a year and see their relationship is worthless. The gold trade has been an
obvious disappointment and its most recent breakdown through 1320 has brought about
a ‘think tank’ infested with analysts fetching for all sorts of reasons that
seem rational for calling a bottom. None of which are true--and of course these
same analysts that tell you to keep an ‘open mind’ are the ones mentally
blocked from knowing the characteristics of a downtrend. And they’ve been
sending you emails and newsletters for months saying this “JUST MAY BE the TIME”
we have reached the final low! <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">As you all know
the reality has been much different, with every rally being met with tremendous
selling pressure, giving you no indication of a possible bull market. Did you ever
think that once the bull gets underway and reaches 3200, they will all tell you
it’s time to get out?? The same crowd of forecasters that were keeping you in
at $2000 have ridden the bear “A L L- T H E W A Y- D O W N” to these current
levels, still claiming every oversold condition is just a pullback to a much
bigger uptrend! I’m sure after 22 months it will be that ‘conspiracy theories
of manipulation’ or some ‘finishing wave count’ are the reasons. <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Truth is,
once you break the apex and have a lower low you add the width of the triangle
from the breakdown point to get the measured move. This shoots for a price target
of 1200, which is a minimum expectation, but perhaps on the next failing rally
we will see a climax low to 1140. <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<br />
<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">CHART OF GOLD (1) </span><br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjvcHWKE4H-nXHwnb2wel5faNzEpnynB57RQ8ubOCVxtJ_K3cBiHbQ1Hz3p-qGM0uJj01dpbbMRgFJXWNZSF4MiYs5i9w7-oCVF6LjnS3-zys-kJx3NNJRwtC9grb-d_E5t791MW5Ah2cVo/s1366/gold+post.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="329" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjvcHWKE4H-nXHwnb2wel5faNzEpnynB57RQ8ubOCVxtJ_K3cBiHbQ1Hz3p-qGM0uJj01dpbbMRgFJXWNZSF4MiYs5i9w7-oCVF6LjnS3-zys-kJx3NNJRwtC9grb-d_E5t791MW5Ah2cVo/s640/gold+post.jpg" width="640" /></a></span></div>
<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">
<br />
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<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"><span style="font-family: Times New Roman; font-size: small;">
</span></span></div>
<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt; text-align: left;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;">That also would
have price return to the 61.8% area from the lows of 2008 to the highs of
September 2011 and a good place for an extreme reversal bar to appear. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Times New Roman; font-size: small;">
</span></div>
<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">
Chart of Gold (2) </div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiPUsjMLCSlAXocYL5J-mJ7dMV11VHfMj1ughY9R7bfEnaZMQZlSNAdPZUbUMUhefqSYnZIWWIoO6yvrVWwgwcf36WX9pNphX2GbuA0SQ7AJGR2glD99EYHsxjeUG5VZeKALqWZz19NKN-H/s1366/gold+post+2.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="330" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiPUsjMLCSlAXocYL5J-mJ7dMV11VHfMj1ughY9R7bfEnaZMQZlSNAdPZUbUMUhefqSYnZIWWIoO6yvrVWwgwcf36WX9pNphX2GbuA0SQ7AJGR2glD99EYHsxjeUG5VZeKALqWZz19NKN-H/s640/gold+post+2.jpg" width="640" /></a></div>
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</div>
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<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">Here
too is a potential fold back measured move from the point the trend went parabolic
in 2011, to where we are now in the current downtrend. Notice that the parabolic
uptrend of 2011 equals the parabolic downtrend of 2013 in size and that it happens
to fall in the vicinity of these same target lows. Not to mention, the downside
volume is now much lighter which is a sign that most of the selling pressure is
being absorbed by central bankers and giant institutions controlling the demand.</span></div>
<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">
<br /></div>
CHART OF GOLD (3) <br />
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<span style="font-family: Times New Roman; font-size: small;">
</span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhKOsigJDJZ6joQbaz71WzN5eITNWwoLR2d1fgEpWOpWce4xIPBCkTHakAh8JgshcSkX8gNA7MhbNBbSi4uNUW2JfFgtYBv0gmf2J-R7GOUcdq0vJl0-llj5sxASVIAN7JfFcidBIi2CQv3/s1366/123.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="330" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhKOsigJDJZ6joQbaz71WzN5eITNWwoLR2d1fgEpWOpWce4xIPBCkTHakAh8JgshcSkX8gNA7MhbNBbSi4uNUW2JfFgtYBv0gmf2J-R7GOUcdq0vJl0-llj5sxASVIAN7JfFcidBIi2CQv3/s640/123.jpg" width="640" /></a></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;">Most people
lose money in downtrends because they have no strategy, they become instant
long term buyers, and, they must ‘wait it out’ only to recover 70% of their
losses, if they’re lucky. Timing the market is not the same as ‘time in’ the market
and you should know that after a price base of 4 to 5 weeks your odds of ‘a
bottom’ is more likely. Or basically draw a horizontal line from 1200 out, and even
with giving five or so percentage points to account for volatility it won’t be
a surprise to see in a couple of weeks that price will be trading flat. We are
hovering above extremely tough support on all time frames, and once 1350 is regained,
the bull market will launch!<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<span style="font-family: Times New Roman; font-size: small;">
</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">The Complete Coverage Report offers two subscriptions—$9.95/month or $100/year. It is well worth the information received.</span></span><br /><span style="font-family: Calibri;"><a href="http://www.thecompletecoveragereport.blogspot.com/"><span style="color: #ffa114;">www.thecompletecoveragereport.blogspot.com</span></a></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;">Darah <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">
</div>
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</div>
</span></span><br />Darahhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16478120790940269341noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2726269285097825806.post-41104092042854887872013-04-07T13:50:00.003-07:002013-04-07T14:05:23.836-07:00DOWN AT THE DEPTHS<br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">The price of
gold is forming into a sideways base that after several weeks, has experienced
minimal downside. This is an encouraging sign because it’s a testament to the
metal’s underlying strength. It also provides technical evidence that price has
the ability to hold, and that there is indeed, “life on the floor.” <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">In addition
to the array of sentiment and internal indicators that now all point to a major
bottom; only one--- focuses on TIMING. The moving average--of gold, stocks,
what have you, essentially traces price information of the past, but applied to
the present. And a good rule of thumb is to wait for the moving average to
catch up, flatten out, and then change direction to confirm a bottom.<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">But do not
ignore price alone. After all, price determines its own fate and the moving
average is merely a fine tuning. Together, the two provide a technical
interpretation that is more insightful than observing one independently from
the other.<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">The <u>twenty
day moving average</u> is a case in point, and perhaps very fitting because it
encompasses the short and intermediate term price action. Twenty trading sessions
equates to one month of time; and most trendless markets tend to run about six
to eight weeks before presenting a directional move.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Overlaid on gold, the slope is not only
beginning to arc sideways, but now resisting the most recent decline. To
explain this, older (minus) readings are being replaced with newer (positive)
readings, which on a time scale of twenty trading days, absorbs a broader development
and not so much, the short-term gyrations.<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Gold remains
very much locked in a basing chamber, both seen by price and a trendless moving
average. But all factors included, the current bottom forming is, shall we say,
“nearing the end of its time zone.” <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">The climate down below is improving, and looking
favorable, more than it ever has before. The inevitable chain of events is predictable;
where price ultimately must leave the ‘basing phase’ to begin trending again.
And undoubtedly this will cause the <u>twenty day moving average </u>to rise. </span><br />
<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"></span><br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhPXsl2ZD_EFrpGHLiivf2pnCA-T5IZiY91GjpCn24Gap5a_CeDWqemmfv5B6fsQYB3KV06lchNq-Gz53SeYzXQaFVBbKTWc2kkvpCkeMsLccgJy1DTydHVsVbwTjEdbQl4-qc5RdSndXJI/s1600/the+depths.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="329" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhPXsl2ZD_EFrpGHLiivf2pnCA-T5IZiY91GjpCn24Gap5a_CeDWqemmfv5B6fsQYB3KV06lchNq-Gz53SeYzXQaFVBbKTWc2kkvpCkeMsLccgJy1DTydHVsVbwTjEdbQl4-qc5RdSndXJI/s640/the+depths.jpg" width="640" /></a></div>
<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"><span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">The Complete Coverage Report offers two subscriptions—$9.95/month or $100/year. It is well worth the information received.</span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: Calibri; font-size: x-large;"><a href="http://www.thecompletecoveragereport.blogspot.com/">www.thecompletecoveragereport.blogspot.com</a></span><br /><span style="font-size: x-large;">
<span style="font-family: Calibri;">Darah<o:p></o:p></span></span>
<span style="line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;"></span></span> </span>Darahhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16478120790940269341noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2726269285097825806.post-5861375471566242812013-03-03T17:31:00.000-08:002013-04-07T13:50:29.428-07:00A STOCK MARKET ENDING<br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">The
individual stocks of the equities market are no longer keeping pace with the
broad averages. A vast number of these stocks have faltered because the trend itself
has become ever more selective. What initially started as a robust, broad based
rally is now narrow; and can only be supported by a handful of stocks.<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">The S&P
500, which is greatly exaggerated from its components, and perhaps can push a
bit higher, is experiencing its very own reading of ‘number of new highs’ increasingly
diminish. This particular statistic is useful during an uptrend because it
determines strength, participation rate, and only the initial spotting of a
divergence reveals that trouble is brewing.<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">The reversal
however will not come immediately. The trend matures, and its remaining
strength allows price to carry on. The divergence that was previously recognized
is now deeply engraved and building on all fronts. More and more stocks will be
left behind and the few that thrive will become stretched even further. All decisions,
rational decisions will be overcome by greed and investors will pile in to
chase the last bit of euphoria. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">But
ultimately what lies ahead is a dead end, where the climate becomes treacherous.
A terrifying, trendless market at formidable resistance begins to emerge. The
trend is immobilized and prices then shape into one large distribution top. Then,
after enough time sets in, the shaky pattern cracks, the market reverses, and like
a flood in destruction, it drags everything in its path! <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">It’s the
beginning of the end, and the stock market ends up fighting a cyclical clock of
nature. At every climax, prices are deprived of oxygen and must retrace their
journey to lower altitudes. This most recent sideways pattern of heightened
volatility, represents a saturated state of exhaustion, which calls for a major
topping process that will inevitably fall apart!</span></span></div>
<div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">S&P 500 v. Number of New Highs </span></span><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgJau5b7lSK4VReJc8lYu8LbQCQIMJ-x8trVFT_6t9sFmNoT-Ld0DwyXDNFpZO62_CdFMq-JUMoxXw7-OXGnHAkj7CfCt8O8KrRLSJ3pmzKD5qvYUvZx8RwydH-6AxdtMHAeiNpxXBHD-yM/s1600/New+chart.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgJau5b7lSK4VReJc8lYu8LbQCQIMJ-x8trVFT_6t9sFmNoT-Ld0DwyXDNFpZO62_CdFMq-JUMoxXw7-OXGnHAkj7CfCt8O8KrRLSJ3pmzKD5qvYUvZx8RwydH-6AxdtMHAeiNpxXBHD-yM/s640/New+chart.jpg" width="590" /></a>
</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">The Complete
Coverage Report offers two subscriptions—$9.95/month or $100/year. It is well
worth the information received.</span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: Calibri; font-size: large;"><a href="http://www.thecompletecoveragereport.blogspot.com/">www.thecompletecoveragereport.blogspot.com</a></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Darah<o:p></o:p></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;"></span></span> </div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;"><o:p></o:p></span></span> </div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div align="left" class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;"><o:p></o:p></span></span> </div>
Darahhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16478120790940269341noreply@blogger.com4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2726269285097825806.post-70494873480175786392013-02-18T18:35:00.000-08:002013-03-09T13:53:45.126-08:00THE PATTERN OF PREDICTABILITY<br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Investors have
experienced a state of prolonged frustration--where <u>prices are TRAPPED</u>
between the upper and lower width of a symmetrical trading band. This is a
reversal sequence that is gradual in nature, but unfolds in a horrendous ‘up
and down’ affair until a sufficient amount of both time and distance is
reached. Prices here regroup, gather strength, and undergo heavy accumulation as
both, buyers and sellers, eagerly anticipate a forthcoming directional move. <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Word out is that
the most current and up to date pattern of GOLD is shaping into a five wave
structural decline that in most cases, signifies the completion of a trending
move! But there are some circumstances where it’s not impossible for the price
to subdivide into six or even SEVEN WAVES before the pattern reaches its
culmination; especially in a mature advance or one that stays in effect.<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">The ACTUAL
pattern developing is a contemporary variation of the <b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">[</b><i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;">seven cycle</i><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"> pivot-wave-structure</b>] - which formed
in 2008. The end result that is <u>occurring now</u>- is a <b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">six to eight month advance</b> - that will (with certainty) reach a
minimum target of 1900, or as high as 2200 in the most bullish case.</span></span></div>
<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">The canvas below is a reminder that ALL patterns
repeat themselves and, if you will notice in this alphabetical sequence – G completes
the developing structure. </span><br />
<br />
<div style="text-align: center;">
<span style="font-family: Calibri; font-size: large;">GLD- DAILY CHART (click to enlarge)</span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhbCCLf18UNLLSmrwp9Flv1Jb-gI3mqGTKgcIKThACAsi627CIdmm2LvG6o-MX2nuG0630lXXsxd8CEcHRvz7Y6RFL1S7hz-mhmu_WeMvuFLzyOe1W5WeqgRMPAb9phXdqGjnXeP0MgL38G/s1600/23.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="281" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhbCCLf18UNLLSmrwp9Flv1Jb-gI3mqGTKgcIKThACAsi627CIdmm2LvG6o-MX2nuG0630lXXsxd8CEcHRvz7Y6RFL1S7hz-mhmu_WeMvuFLzyOe1W5WeqgRMPAb9phXdqGjnXeP0MgL38G/s640/23.jpg" width="640" /></a></div>
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<span style="font-family: Calibri; font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: Calibri; font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: Calibri; font-size: large;"><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;">WHY the pattern
is reappearing is of no interest, so long as we can observe that it exists! And
from the looks of it, the first test of survival is complete and what lies
beneath the surface is the muscular structure of one STRONG OX, in the best
shape of his life!<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;">Investors
want to know the bottom line - and "<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">the
end</b>" of this multi-month correction.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>As late as early March, gold will have reversed course to fulfill its
long awaited uptrend.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<span style="font-family: Times New Roman; font-size: small;">
</span><br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;">The CC
Report offers two subscription services---$9.95/month or $100/year. It is well
worth the information received.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<span style="font-family: Times New Roman; font-size: small;">
</span><br />
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<a href="http://www.thecompletecoveragereport.blogspot.com/"><span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="color: blue;">www.thecompletecoveragereport.blogspot.com</span></span></a></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;">Darah<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<span style="font-family: Times New Roman; font-size: small;">
</span></span><br />Darahhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16478120790940269341noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2726269285097825806.post-47162240755901591712013-01-26T17:34:00.002-08:002013-01-26T19:34:59.368-08:00THE TIME IS NOW FOR ALL GOLD INVESTORS!!!!<br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">There is a
universal understanding that no major trend can exist without Major Institutions
being ‘in on’ the trade. With the <u>deepest pockets on Wall Street</u>, these BIG
BULLIES are also notorious for manipulating the displacement (of shares) at key
bottoms in order to better position their entry points! The most traditional
and common method is <u>a running of stops</u> at crowded support levels. It creates
a forced debacle where prices are in a reeling tail spin, leaving investors totally
shell shocked! Then within days, or in some cases intra-day, prices immediately
reverse back to their collapsing point. <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">The Miners
is a working example- because its chart pattern is a clear cut technical
aberration with now an oversupply of <b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">shares
up for grabs</b>! And this inspired stroke of selling has generated a deeply
oversold condition that is, comparable to the “July Bottom”---- of which came
several days prior to a multi-month advance. <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">But this
discrepancy and perhaps most encouraging sign of all is ---that prices are residing
at higher levels! Let me explain.<span style="mso-no-proof: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Elevated readings
of the ‘Gold to Miners ratio’ have a credible tendency to mark important bottoms.
Readings, especially this past week, certainly justify the current climate as not
only bottom worthy, but very stretched-- while holding safely above the “July
lows”. <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">There is an
implication here! And that is, that the most recent three day wipe out is
unlikely to go much further because everyone who would’ve sold out, <u>has already
done so</u>! This ground halting reversal will be in keeping of a larger
framework of the current Bull market’s livelihood, and that is, maintaining an
orderly (trend shaping) sequence of <u>higher highs</u> and <u>higher lows.</u></span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<div style="text-align: center;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;"><o:p><span style="font-family: Times New Roman; font-size: small;">
</span><span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;">The Gold to
Miner Ratio (click to enlarge)
</span></o:p></span></span></div>
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;"><span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"></span></span></span><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgsUkL-FxKiB3n-o5q_q8_isPSq16SQC1mBvi342n9GkfN7yCOGAUAYz96L6vocZWdd7VTIqmN4JINHR9bi8EuKt3Qc2cLwdrx2aiRssjStxLTLFjfhpqfVmDBymRCE1zmoLgKEjSqq-XXw/s1600/25.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgsUkL-FxKiB3n-o5q_q8_isPSq16SQC1mBvi342n9GkfN7yCOGAUAYz96L6vocZWdd7VTIqmN4JINHR9bi8EuKt3Qc2cLwdrx2aiRssjStxLTLFjfhpqfVmDBymRCE1zmoLgKEjSqq-XXw/s640/25.jpg" width="521" /></a></div>
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<span style="font-family: Times New Roman; font-size: small;">
</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;">The Complete
Coverage Report offers two subscriptions—$9.95/month and $100/year. It is well
worth the information received.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<span style="font-family: Times New Roman; font-size: small;">
</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;">Darah<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<a href="http://www.thecompletecoveragereport.blogspot.com/">www.thecompletecoveragereport.blogspot.com</a></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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<o:p></o:p></span></span></span><br /></div>
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Darahhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16478120790940269341noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2726269285097825806.post-31030117632843771942013-01-05T18:37:00.000-08:002013-01-06T05:08:36.703-08:00THE INFLECTION POINT OF 2013!<br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Most are
sunk in contemplation, and hopelessly clinging on to the ever- changing era of
big government spending. <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Central
bankers and big financial institutions are borrowing money from the FED at
rates near zero, and then reinvest it into the ten year or thirty year notes, which
are paying 2% to 4%. From the standpoint of any financial institution, it is logical
and also more profitable than say, lending to a risky borrower. <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Quantitative
Easing was- and is now-the Fed’s response to this credit crunch, BUT!- with
money being created out of thin air! And this new infusion of liquidity will
inevitably flow back to the same institutions that initially purchased these
long term government debt instruments! Overall, the hopeful consequence is to
saturate the debt market and encourage creditors to invest elsewhere-- i.e. business
owners, entrepreneurs, and the everyday consumers.<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Bond prices
and their corresponding yields have an inverse correlation. If prices
rise, then yields will fall. When the FED intervenes it creates the illusion of
demand, making prices go up. In theory, their intent, is for bond holders to cash
out with a profit, then consider loaning really-where there is MORE RISK. <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Interestingly
enough, this theory is only a theory, not a solution. When the government
increases spending through measures of stimulus plans, the budget deficit will
soar. This debt, however, must be repaid and consequently, higher taxes will
largely fall on the wealthy, but also on the middle class because most, if not
all will receive reduced payouts. Higher taxes will also cut back consumer
spending, forcing companies to operate with fewer employees. The result is
higher productivity because one worker is doing the job of two, or three in the
extreme.<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">This all will
come at a time of rising inflation because despite the Fed’s efforts to keep rates
(yields) low, their plan is failing. International creditors are quietly
fleeing from bonds because of fears of a possible default. They will focus internally
on the growth of their domestic economy. Bond holders will take their bread and
butter back to their homeland to focus on the very products that create organic
growth and exports for all. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Mind you,
the technical picture must accommodate this inevitable outcome. And as we all
watch from a far, the bond market is cracking, but has not imploded, at least
not yet. I suspect that this sideways bearish pattern will ultimately give way
in the early part of 2013, and at the same time initiate its Bear Market in
full effect. <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">TLT- Weekly Chart (click to enlarge)</span></div>
<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiRzg7C6LfWnoB18vWbarHIqz6flPkbbfXZU4F9dcVQIJWj81TuKNDmi0d7YGfhW1slSGc-gU2Fig7fBIfQ-4ocada-y9xvMQFgCi0xAcm0WgDibotT8DQO4JqC2lENq85TTUvyIGn7k9g3/s1600/01.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="206" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiRzg7C6LfWnoB18vWbarHIqz6flPkbbfXZU4F9dcVQIJWj81TuKNDmi0d7YGfhW1slSGc-gU2Fig7fBIfQ-4ocada-y9xvMQFgCi0xAcm0WgDibotT8DQO4JqC2lENq85TTUvyIGn7k9g3/s400/01.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"></span><br /></div>
<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;">We have a
major turning point approaching in all markets, not just bonds. The
corresponding cycles for stocks and Gold, both long and short, will manifest
into a decouple process that- I have long maintained!</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;">Investors
should be prepared for the coming tax hikes and rising long term capital gains,
which together hold little to no incentive for owning stocks. This will be the
true culprit for a worsening stock market, actually a Bear Market; while the
media misdirects you with political theater to alleviate the worries of going
off the fiscal cliff. </span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<div style="text-align: center;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;">S&P 500-
Daily Chart (click to enlarge)</span></div>
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhhqgTMNr_KVQFK8eVIEWRDJR-mJQ-sV6Rr6kIN1CzKWcTvWTf2nkWK7V4mT7piuu-9V7-fJCGDzPgbVViuNPmWaSW21zYHb08xYvI1v2iEsiMN0h03lGiY0Yl5pzQTtmv59r5IWzJsG3y_/s1600/04.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="206" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhhqgTMNr_KVQFK8eVIEWRDJR-mJQ-sV6Rr6kIN1CzKWcTvWTf2nkWK7V4mT7piuu-9V7-fJCGDzPgbVViuNPmWaSW21zYHb08xYvI1v2iEsiMN0h03lGiY0Yl5pzQTtmv59r5IWzJsG3y_/s400/04.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
</span><br />
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<br /></div>
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;">As for the
Dow Jones, it too doesn’t look very promising either.</span><br />
</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt; text-align: center;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">The
Dow Jones- Daily Chart (click to enlarge) </span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEilzqXTvQeJ5gophAHYrMHUylFQPmWOb1_LRw-R8F2i1DG3GP2Va5vIgvHRp4bu-Titx-I_57cDQzYapGUGcTROHOAQZFUr8SVPeeqpQFEL8ns-Q6617sMpuzi-NOlmrTEO-fvpJjFDU_Vi/s1600/02.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="206" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEilzqXTvQeJ5gophAHYrMHUylFQPmWOb1_LRw-R8F2i1DG3GP2Va5vIgvHRp4bu-Titx-I_57cDQzYapGUGcTROHOAQZFUr8SVPeeqpQFEL8ns-Q6617sMpuzi-NOlmrTEO-fvpJjFDU_Vi/s400/02.jpg" width="400" /></a> </div>
</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;">But there
will come a time, a time long before the Fed downsizes its balance sheet, if unemployment
ever reaches 6.5%. A time far removed from improving GDP or the presumption of
an economic recovery. A time when bearish conditions seem extended indefinitely
and there is no end in sight! In the same breath investors will rush out of
bonds and enter the only non-government asset that in the times of pervasive gloom
outperforms any other market---GOLD! <o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt; text-align: center;">
<span style="font-family: Times New Roman; font-size: small;">
</span><span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">Gold- Daily Chart (click to enlarge)</span></div>
<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both; margin: 0in 0in 10pt; text-align: center;">
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<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;">The CC
Report offers two subscriptions— $9.95/month or $100/year. It is well worth the
information received. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="text-align: left;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;">Darah<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><o:p></o:p></span> </div>
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<span style="mso-no-proof: yes;"></span></span></span><o:p></o:p></div>
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</span></span><br />Darahhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16478120790940269341noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2726269285097825806.post-50854729883026547162012-12-23T13:59:00.000-08:002012-12-29T03:33:48.875-08:00MINERS AT A LOW!!<span style="font-family: Calibri;"></span><br />
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<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">The history of the stock market reveals how specific patterns
come into being, and how it influences subsequent behavior. Pattern sequences of
a previous time are reborn and under the right circumstances, can identically
repeat. It is simply a reproduction of how investors are behaving collectively
at two different points in time. But knowing that a pattern has a particular script it
follows can constitute a path that holds (or leads to) a likely outcome!<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<br />
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<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Ninety percent of the time all market declines will have
two panics. The first is associated with volume and volatility, invoking
maximum participation. The second is a byproduct of the first and unfolds in a final
‘flush out.’ It is less dramatic in size and influence- but prices reach new
lows. <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Time is also a component and is equally as
important. Once a protracted decline sets in, historically there is not a
typical short squeeze of five to eight percent in the other direction, but a
tremendous upward spike which reverses the trend all together. <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">The modern day scenario that is most fitting is of
course, the GOLD MINING INDEX. And after an extended three month correction, we
can officially say "the rubber band has been stretched!" The technical picture provides
enough evidence to define a clear cut two- panic low sequence, but more
interestingly, the second panic has a particularly complex nature that morphed
into a sideways and seemingly base pattern. This now calls for a violent uptrend underway! <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US;">GDX-Daily Chart (click to enlarge)</span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhJS5wYraYZCtgnj2GFnleoXl0uTnIWyUmhdTUiAlguK55UUjCJ-KzycgZw5ZK2ApslnHQWqzvkkPEjSWekFYIaFVcqHYUXnz4-355L-_WvlBtxHb5LAm90_5MAtNIWJqJdfOpvmcUn-gZ2/s1600/12.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="206" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhJS5wYraYZCtgnj2GFnleoXl0uTnIWyUmhdTUiAlguK55UUjCJ-KzycgZw5ZK2ApslnHQWqzvkkPEjSWekFYIaFVcqHYUXnz4-355L-_WvlBtxHb5LAm90_5MAtNIWJqJdfOpvmcUn-gZ2/s400/12.jpg" width="400" /></a>
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<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">The CC Report offers two subscriptions-
$9.95/month or $100/year. It is well worth the information received.<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Darah<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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Darahhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16478120790940269341noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2726269285097825806.post-988100153029622072012-12-08T16:27:00.000-08:002012-12-09T04:40:34.143-08:00PANIC COMING!<br />
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<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">The TV
pundits all contribute their fair share to the conditioning process by clouding
thoughts of any market player. To the extent that all ambiguities presented will
bait investors to thinking IRRATIONALLY! Like, waiting for a 1000 point rally to
emerge once the fiscal cliff is resolved.<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Fortunately,
underneath all the headlines a visual and graphical interpretation can be mathematically
extracted. It is here, in these very charts, where you will find an answer that
illustrates what is really going on, so that us technicians can observe,
scrutinize, and formulate a particular bias. <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<br />
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<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">The
information provided does not tell you why, or when, but what! <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<br />
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<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">In this case,
‘the what’ is a bear market rally. These particular rallies are very sneaky and
most convincing, but can be properly identified when using the right tools.<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<br />
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<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">For
starters, a basket of heavily weighted companies, ‘THE NIFTY FIFTY,’ which
offer the bulk in the performance in the averages -all now have chart
patterns that cannot sustain the continuation of this advance. Invariably, when
volume remains light during an extended window of time, the result is an
inevitable sharp collapse back down to the previous lows or worse, new lows
that can no longer support a bull market. <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">The S&P
500 index is a case in point, which is still in rally mode, and perhaps can
continue higher if there is further consolidation. But if only mother market is
ever so accommodative to our own expectations.<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">And it is because
of her complexities that make it an impossible arena for perfection. The current
rally back is clearly overworking itself to recapture the previous drop in November
and rather than guessing where exactly it will end, think of it in terms of
direction. The future course of these violent counter trends ultimately end in
a scare plunge; and all the pumping in the world cannot uphold the violent cascade
of selling pressure that will implode on the masses.<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">Consider the technical chart below, which projects
a disaster waiting to happen, and with only a small chance of one last leg higher
before this rally is all said and done. </span><br />
<div align="center">
<span style="font-family: Calibri; font-size: x-large;">S&P 500- Daily Chart</span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgSO5CGZ4RSXpX3OWWnXdvYeL11zwB8lfSN39bqLVxwc0zS2HplG7Rcg8jjJ_OWg-MHX4Ooq_U6xqPvh1OUuyesJbQe46M_22MDyxIBr_9EVfLUB6w-0kKc01UWj7GpRh1IlARRd8QQ5Xm1/s1600/panic.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="206" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgSO5CGZ4RSXpX3OWWnXdvYeL11zwB8lfSN39bqLVxwc0zS2HplG7Rcg8jjJ_OWg-MHX4Ooq_U6xqPvh1OUuyesJbQe46M_22MDyxIBr_9EVfLUB6w-0kKc01UWj7GpRh1IlARRd8QQ5Xm1/s400/panic.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
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<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">The CC Report offers
two subscriptions- $9.95/month or $100/year. It is well worth the information
received.<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Darah<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"></span><br />Darahhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16478120790940269341noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2726269285097825806.post-76315041935670400622012-11-17T17:57:00.001-08:002012-11-17T18:51:40.448-08:00OVERSOLD RALLY COMING!<br />
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<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">The ever
changing nature of the stock market will often boggle analysts if the current price
information displays an unclear message. There has always been, and there will always
be a fascination to wrongfully challenge what the future holds, instead of
interpreting what’s at hand. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It’s as if
what is already known is simply not enough.<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<br />
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<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Such aspects
should never be the primary tool of one’s own decision making. In fact, this is
very reminiscent of my encounter with one wise expert on Wall Street. He is a seasoned
grizzly who has weathered decades of all different market climates and his ever
influencing demeanor once expressed to me, “Don’t tell the market... let the market
tell us!”<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Many have
already come forth with bottom expectations, but none hold any convincing basis
for this belief. With regard to the averages, the message across the board is
simply no message at all. The only, if any, ‘take away’ from this most recent emotionally
inspired wave of selling has served as an oversold condition. No reversal has
transpired to even consider a change of events. <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<br />
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<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">BUT, the last
thirty minutes into Friday’s close did reveal a heavy interest of buying for
reasons we will soon find out next week. Any follow through of this will result
in a swing low, but I must caution those who feel this may in fact be the more
important bottom. Let me explain.<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<br />
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<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Even in the
perverse of markets, rarely do stocks ever go down and then turn back up to
form a ‘v-bottom.’ These particular bottoms are suspect and almost all fail. A true
bottom worthy condition must present a subsequent retest of the low or in the
very least, find support near the general area to confirm that prices can hold
despite all of the bearish news.<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<br />
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<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Bottom Line:<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<br />
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<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">After a second
low is presented, odds increase tremendously for an oversold rally into year
end. Leading into the second low, divergences will erect on all fronts and most
of the selling pressure should be ‘wrung’ out. Below is several examples to
further underscore this very sequence. <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">NDX
100- Daily Chart</span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEja2QXpq2u-fyIVua2GIb1h0OiF9soDg0qkCVKXKqzg6Jg_TB-mi8EDW2xlgyngh8R7faRO4Nzjsmyc0UynZL2lq6e6kZOC9NLks_5FQ3a0XnzAtVGw9R3rWYy1pssCl7nGXczn1P5-dwof/s1600/01.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="206" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEja2QXpq2u-fyIVua2GIb1h0OiF9soDg0qkCVKXKqzg6Jg_TB-mi8EDW2xlgyngh8R7faRO4Nzjsmyc0UynZL2lq6e6kZOC9NLks_5FQ3a0XnzAtVGw9R3rWYy1pssCl7nGXczn1P5-dwof/s400/01.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
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<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"><span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">In
case Friday was not a low of some kind, a bottom will soon be realized in the
coming days.</span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"><span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"></span></span><br />
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<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">The CC
Report offers two subscriptions- $9.95/month or $100/year. It is well worth the
information received.<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Darah<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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Darahhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16478120790940269341noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2726269285097825806.post-24658571559126707752012-11-15T07:07:00.000-08:002012-11-17T17:12:07.351-08:00A Free Lunch!<br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Click on the link below to preview a sample of the Nov.5th Premium Newsletter.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span id="goog_800829397"></span><a href="https://docs.google.com/file/d/0B8WEcTEckUoWY2FOZGlvOTBBMXM/edit"><span style="font-size: x-large;">11.05.2012- Sample Newsletter</span></a><br />
<span id="goog_800829398"></span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-size: large;">For a more comprehensive analysis on the markets, please go to the Premium newsletter tab and subscribe today.</span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;">Darah</span><br />
<br />
<br />Darahhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16478120790940269341noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2726269285097825806.post-21810324685144106642012-11-04T10:46:00.002-08:002012-11-09T08:12:40.341-08:00A SECOND CHANCE FOR ALL GOLD INVESTORS!<br />
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<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Not long ago,
in the article entitled, “The Final Run in Gold,” I outlined a sequence of specific
events that called for an imminent correction in Gold. Contrary to this viewpoint,
the pervasive narrative among analysts at that time was forecasting the metal
price to reach as high as $2,000 an ounce. Of course, this expectation never
came into fruition, nor was it rational enough to give any credence either. <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">For those of
you who are owed back the explosive rally in September NOW get a second chance.
Prices are in their final days of this current decline, and will present buyers
with one extraordinary opportunity. My target between 1850 and 1900 I see can
be realized in the coming 4-6 weeks, likely leading into mid December. All it
will take is a one day stroke higher of 20 to 25 points that initiates the
reversal, and which generates an avalanche of buy orders thereafter. <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">As you all
know, psychology in the commodity markets is driven by the element of FEAR, but
this time it will be BULLISH PANIC. The truth of the matter is that Gold is in a
roaring new bull market. And these hyper-sold conditions trap investors because
they are emotionally forced to sell their positions at the very wrong time.
Bottom fishing to this degree where valuations are extremely suppressed is not
an occasion that comes very often. </span></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">The canvas
below you will see I’ve ‘inked’ with my long expectation of the price action in
the yellow metal. Don’t get left behind as the train is not far from leaving
the station. <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhVM8lXk4U3ZIOtbxF98Bn_PeBKwgGgXmBRnlonp-VCNpWUhtZdgfNaoZ3uuQdBIlW01MqCOm21Xob83npcf_5CEv88LHxU8RK3Scuyre0JVd1uvos8-ZfpAVf4dvQYL_6sv8XvbPLBVa9l/s1600/gold,+and+gold.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="206" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhVM8lXk4U3ZIOtbxF98Bn_PeBKwgGgXmBRnlonp-VCNpWUhtZdgfNaoZ3uuQdBIlW01MqCOm21Xob83npcf_5CEv88LHxU8RK3Scuyre0JVd1uvos8-ZfpAVf4dvQYL_6sv8XvbPLBVa9l/s400/gold,+and+gold.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
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<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Darah<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
Darahhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16478120790940269341noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2726269285097825806.post-66833445396757485302012-10-20T17:45:00.003-07:002012-10-21T07:47:25.658-07:00GOLD AND MINERS ARE APPROACHING BOTTOM!<span style="font-family: Calibri;"></span><br />
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<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Large concentrated amounts of volume will appear during the intial stages of an uptrend, which is a telling sign of forthcoming strength. It is a direct result of
INSTITUTIONS that <span style="color: white; mso-themecolor: background1;">accumulate
massive long positions at the start of a major move. But as time 'takes a toll' on the maturation of the bullish advance, its trend grows weaker on diminishing
amounts of volume even when the stock is making new price highs. The interpretation
is that investors are losing interest, and a top is near.</span><span style="color: yellow;"><o:p></o:p></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Likewise, in
the case of a downtrend, new price lows on declining volume indicates that
buyers are ‘eating up’ the supply, and the trend is ready to reverse. <span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">There
are even occasions where the reversal transpires as a ‘volume<span style="color: white; mso-themecolor: background1;"> spike’</span>, but you see very little price
movement. </span> The
message is that the extremity of selling pressure within the move lower has reached a point
of exhaustion.<span style="color: white; mso-themecolor: background1;"> <o:p></o:p></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: white; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-themecolor: background1;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Based on the corresponding characteristics
exhibiting in both Gold and the Miners, there is overwhelming evidence that supports
their current down trending structure to be coming to an end. Let me explain. <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">The yellow metal has now entered the accumulation
phase, where big firms initiate a ‘scale in’ approach to purchase blocks of
millions of shares over a designated time frame. Since legally they cannot buy the
entire shares float all at once, this strategy is widely used and seemingly more
appropriate. Furthermore, the lack of selling participation associated with Gold’s
most recent price decline, on top of the new money inflow, suggests that buying is
in effect. </span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">If this
methodology happens to 'stretch' the actual
turning point as sometimes is the case, my guess is that by the next 5- 8 trading days a bottom should present itself. Rarely do you see a correction last more than three, three and half weeks especially in the birth of a major uptrend. </span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">Particularly
when an index is so closely linked to the metal it tracks, yet is sensitive to
the price performance of the overall market, its true direction can be skewed by such 'pulling' forces. Despite a 200 point drop in the DOW JONES Average on Friday (a mild re-enactment of the 25th year anniversary of Black Monday),
and gold moving lower- the GDX actually closed positive on rather large ‘spike
volume.’ This is a clear case of Investors that have seemingly found attractive
valuations at current levels for reasons obvious - they are expecting a bottom.
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<span style="font-family: Calibri;"><span style="color: white; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-bidi-font-family: Calibri; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-latin;">Darah</span><span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-bidi-font-family: Calibri; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-latin;"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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Darahhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16478120790940269341noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2726269285097825806.post-34065163744342507352012-10-13T14:56:00.002-07:002012-10-14T10:02:31.353-07:00A YEAR-END RALLY IS SOON UNDERWAY!<span style="font-family: Calibri;"></span><br />
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<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">The
integrity of a particular resistance level at which prices breakout from is only
called into question if the subsequent retest lacks the ability to ‘hold’ above
the breakout point. Failure to do so would be a sign of trouble that requires
more effort among buyers to ‘absorb’ the oversupply of shares at hand. However,
the fact that market fluctuations can be irrational at times; there are cases when
the breakout level is not necessarily the fulcrum point. Instead prices have
room to ‘give’ but still remain above the general stopping area. This can be equally
as valid so long as there comes a period of consolidation 'above'
where buyers can defend the newly established higher level of support . </span></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;"><o:p><span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">For this technical reason one might objectively identify as
their being a potential bullish case in stocks right now. And should this analysis be applied to the basis that 'the fundamentals always find a way to fulfill the technicals,' then it gives
even more reason to ‘dig’ into what might be the primary driver. </span></o:p></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;"><o:p><span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"></span></o:p></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;"><o:p><span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">For starters, price
action during the month of September was largely ignited by investors’ response
to the stimulus measures of our Federal Reserve. Not only was there a great
deal of ‘front running’ the announcement of QE3, but as it turns out, the
actual announcement was a ‘sell on the news’ type of event. </span></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Calibri;"><span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"></span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: Calibri;"><span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;">Since the
market has not ‘taken off’ as it seemingly should by now, there is
somewhat of a dismissive approach among investors- as if money printing this
time around may not ‘work’. Historical evidence would prove that monetary stimulus during the latter stages of a bull market cycle <span style="font-family: Times New Roman; font-size: small;"><span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;"><span style="font-family: Calibri; font-size: large;">has less desirable effects, but for reasons explained in the premium newsletter- I believe there is STILL enough 'kick' in this market to accomodate a year-end/election rally prior to a major TOP.</span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
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<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Darah<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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Darahhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16478120790940269341noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2726269285097825806.post-80221455160464844302012-10-06T17:10:00.000-07:002012-10-08T01:36:15.111-07:00THE FINAL RUN IN GOLD <span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">If ever an up-trending
market is without a health restoring correction process, investors seemingly
have leaned too far to the side of one bias. Generally the result is an ‘approaching
top’. This might be the case now since Gold is contained within a sideways
structure; a pattern that represents indecision and lack of direction. But under
different circumstances, particular price behavior of this kind can presage a grimmer
outcome. </span></span><br />
<br />
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<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"></span><span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">The extended
condition of Gold has a trajectory that speaks to more bearish possibilities, and
not the bullish ‘hype’ that currently orbits our trading universe. Since these
patterns are tricky, one cannot be certain of which direction prices will break-so
key will be to follow the dollar. </span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt; text-align: center;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;"><o:p><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhA8Pl4QZsHS6cJ0l-JBpMCRMJt624Li_9vtZR-YFjbErsNjwcr_wc92RmoUfUbwqBoDp8oCnha6FTIoSlknRhIEqTXTg8PTEdyN-beiUuToIP9_4d4VPXWOYA4ZB-J6PKzTdUqyWpcuIab/s1600/13.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="206" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhA8Pl4QZsHS6cJ0l-JBpMCRMJt624Li_9vtZR-YFjbErsNjwcr_wc92RmoUfUbwqBoDp8oCnha6FTIoSlknRhIEqTXTg8PTEdyN-beiUuToIP9_4d4VPXWOYA4ZB-J6PKzTdUqyWpcuIab/s400/13.jpg" width="400" /></a></o:p></span></span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgFEl8IyCopIy5bv6uous6dogeO8H8UrgZJYyZGqNa5zt98FH-mWlNw4RuRoAD6eoPCjhkLCIWyx7iFg5XoY-Brf4trvpgfTVVoyPnck_RCzZr3Pf299ejjB5SlYnikOr1_gF7SoCWp89iq/s1600/10.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"></a> </div>
<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">If the dollar breaks its previous swing low,
then gold will likely stage a mild advance to the neighborhood of 1815, 1840
max. Anything past that will be given back rather sharply as the metal is ‘overdue’
for a more substantial correction. </span><br />
<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"></span><br />
<div style="text-align: center;">
<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"><span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"><span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiF1QPDr4XJoaUp6ECgVTwpmw3NrgFN9JgXnK6AOpgFMiDPVxC_wDnca6-TIWR0LazIiSdjkaZYX3bjoaZSYxcM7Y1Us95Pr3Ar0OTgP_aeL5giEH4_VJEyKVnA7JIZUA2O0sGC_OSpKDKi/s1600/11.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="206" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiF1QPDr4XJoaUp6ECgVTwpmw3NrgFN9JgXnK6AOpgFMiDPVxC_wDnca6-TIWR0LazIiSdjkaZYX3bjoaZSYxcM7Y1Us95Pr3Ar0OTgP_aeL5giEH4_VJEyKVnA7JIZUA2O0sGC_OSpKDKi/s400/11.jpg" width="400" /></a></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"><span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">Should
Gold break down from this ‘up and down’ pattern, then the initiation of a 2 to 3
week corrective phase has begun. I would anticipate the preliminary stage of
the move lower to be a quick drop that is followed by a sideways consolidation.
Thereafter the metal will stage an upward advance of much greater magnitude than this current one, likely pressing the September of 2011 highs at roughly $2,000 an ounce.</span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"><span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"></span></span> </div>
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<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"><span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEii9Gs8EAvKPTldoIwu-_M6f2s8A4_cXQc5FOTBM3piNfxXei1IguFqZLg3Zn0VC8J_D-Gs6K7BVrn524kgsdecnRYyrKeAj7YEkGK1GYYrRiZxInZtiK27S1C-aNlkkPDmx4zPQ2LEJg66/s1600/10.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="206" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEii9Gs8EAvKPTldoIwu-_M6f2s8A4_cXQc5FOTBM3piNfxXei1IguFqZLg3Zn0VC8J_D-Gs6K7BVrn524kgsdecnRYyrKeAj7YEkGK1GYYrRiZxInZtiK27S1C-aNlkkPDmx4zPQ2LEJg66/s400/10.jpg" width="400" /></a></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"><span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiF1QPDr4XJoaUp6ECgVTwpmw3NrgFN9JgXnK6AOpgFMiDPVxC_wDnca6-TIWR0LazIiSdjkaZYX3bjoaZSYxcM7Y1Us95Pr3Ar0OTgP_aeL5giEH4_VJEyKVnA7JIZUA2O0sGC_OSpKDKi/s1600/11.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"></a></span></span> </div>
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<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Traders/investors
who ‘missed out’ on the August/September multi-month advance might be looking
to reposition for what I believe is going to be an extremely lucrative
opportunity. One can subscribe to the premium newletter for a detailed description of the expected sequence of events as well as particular points of entry. </span></span></div>
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<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Darah<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<br /></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiF1QPDr4XJoaUp6ECgVTwpmw3NrgFN9JgXnK6AOpgFMiDPVxC_wDnca6-TIWR0LazIiSdjkaZYX3bjoaZSYxcM7Y1Us95Pr3Ar0OTgP_aeL5giEH4_VJEyKVnA7JIZUA2O0sGC_OSpKDKi/s1600/11.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"></a> </div>
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<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"><span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"></span></span> </div>
Darahhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16478120790940269341noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2726269285097825806.post-3847479810524400232012-09-30T12:30:00.000-07:002012-09-30T15:54:32.449-07:00YEAR-END RALLY!<br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Typically at
final tops is an oversold rally among the Dow Components and flagship stocks that
‘juice’ the broad averages higher, but few of these individual names actually
make new stock highs. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The implication is
that investors will hit the ‘EXITS’ just prior to the ‘you know what’ hits
the fan, but suckers in the public for what they feel is ‘a runaway move’. This
course of action is identically repeated just weeks before the end of every major bull market top
- simply because it takes a great deal of time for institutions to unload
blocks of millions of shares to those buying in at these euphoric levels. <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">The
illogical nature of the stock market should remind us that there always comes a
time when investors will forcibly convince themselves (under some unfounded reason)
- to gobble up shares of any company, <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>not knowing the stock is rising - because it’s
being squeezed for its every last penny! <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>This certainly is the case with Apple, Google,
and Amazon. But of course, they will top out just before or with the market as
I previously explained. <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Fortunately,
there is still plenty of time before any of these meaningful signs of trouble -
bubble to the surface. And while there are subtle warnings that are current,
they do not provide any serious sign to worry, at least not yet. </span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;"><span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">Simply put, the stock market is set in motion to resume its year-end uptrend before the culmination of this four year Bull market cycle. And soon after this current decline bottoms out, it will be the very last worthwhile position for longs to accumulate shares into the final quarter. </span></span></span></div>
<span style="font-family: Calibri;"><o:p></o:p></span><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEij1wLK-TCVezQJCfShVQK7BYv6DErcfLNaoU0A35CIAFF9LC0nosZKgVS8p8h50NG0OvR3xRXZNvEpt77k-6CXJLWYM5gINGWaGiW8RMwRjunaI_bNr62BJv5KN0tPCq4c9tJVV-yid-SD/s1600/10.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="206" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEij1wLK-TCVezQJCfShVQK7BYv6DErcfLNaoU0A35CIAFF9LC0nosZKgVS8p8h50NG0OvR3xRXZNvEpt77k-6CXJLWYM5gINGWaGiW8RMwRjunaI_bNr62BJv5KN0tPCq4c9tJVV-yid-SD/s400/10.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"></span><br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;">The CC
Report premium newsletter offers two subscriptions-$10/month or only $100/year.
It’s well worth the information you receive.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<span style="font-family: Times New Roman; font-size: small;">
</span><br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;">Darah<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<span style="font-family: Times New Roman; font-size: small;">
</span>Darahhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16478120790940269341noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2726269285097825806.post-14413480655927575902012-09-23T11:44:00.002-07:002012-09-24T14:57:08.408-07:00EYE OPENING BULLISH POSSIBILITIES<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">A market that
experiences a climatic selling frenzy can often generate hyper-sold conditions which
merit for a rally, but not one that is sustainable to recover from
such severe technical damage. Instead what occurs is prices fall back at minimum
to retest the prior low, but the decline in motion is not nearly as dramatic.
Thereafter becomes a scrimmage between both buyers and sellers until a general
support area can be agreed upon, and to where the next bottom can then be
established. <o:p></o:p></span></span><br />
<br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Currently, the
U.S. Dollar index does not at all reveal any convincing price action that is
worthy of a true bottom. This has significance because many asset classes
within the stock market respond inversely to the performance of the greenback
currency.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Essentially by knowing the
dollar’s next move can better prepare your analysis in other markets.<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Take for
instance the Daily chart I have below.<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiodvIFCvPgXbrgi1b6T6qJB0F5idLY7l24OFz9yf1HXcQZkKW3YEq18qwqLVYFwvDDY04y5yt7VEGJ6yWiOsinW4OYiRo9gnZTaoS4v_29zALz_kW47D3RzgafPSmEwt1PahQ0oIl0YCYG/s1600/the+Dollar.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="206" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiodvIFCvPgXbrgi1b6T6qJB0F5idLY7l24OFz9yf1HXcQZkKW3YEq18qwqLVYFwvDDY04y5yt7VEGJ6yWiOsinW4OYiRo9gnZTaoS4v_29zALz_kW47D3RzgafPSmEwt1PahQ0oIl0YCYG/s400/the+Dollar.jpg" width="400" /></a>
</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">I expect
this current bounce within a panicky decline to fulfill another low here within
the next few weeks. Following what should culminate into a basing period, I anticipate
a counter trend rally to emerge and set the stage for a corrective move in both
stocks and commodities.</span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Bonds: </span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"></span><span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">I don’t’
think I am stating anymore than the obvious about their being a major top in our
U.S. Bond Market. The Federal Reserve clearly surprised many investors with the
purchase of mortgage back securities, and not U.S. treasuries as was done with
QE1 and QE2. Consequently, this holds very little incentive for bond holders to
continue purchasing U.S. Debt and will likely look elsewhere to reposition at least until now through the election.<span style="color: white; mso-themecolor: background1;">
</span></span></span></div>
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<br /></div>
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<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">The technicals imply that prices have materialized
into a classic Head and Shoulders formation, but more importantly, generated
a decisive downward break of the long term cycle trend-line that for many
months held as previous points of major support. The occurrence of these two
specific bearish events structurally classifies our U.S. Bond Market as being
in a confirmed downtrend. </span></span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhWRO248waVTTIYswgNiDV6-ldktOsKhDWqdsy23fBIxCR7aqthxdfyIrhdpzD4e6x_9wjkXHDTSaR7DtYDdp7pxG5LxToPDO0y01nVQ8CuSuy4gkUOXuC0uyMz4LW6IT47p1aTHn2uX-6i/s1600/Bond+chart.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="206" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhWRO248waVTTIYswgNiDV6-ldktOsKhDWqdsy23fBIxCR7aqthxdfyIrhdpzD4e6x_9wjkXHDTSaR7DtYDdp7pxG5LxToPDO0y01nVQ8CuSuy4gkUOXuC0uyMz4LW6IT47p1aTHn2uX-6i/s400/Bond+chart.jpg" width="400" /></a>
</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Above all
else, you should know that for any asset class- be it bonds, stocks, or
commodities; all are driven by only two specific fundamental principles. How
much liquidity is available, and how much of that liquidity is willing to be
invested. </span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Emerging on
the scene is a three headed monster that will eliminate all fears of liquidity ever
running dry between now and year end. It being- the flight of capital from
Europe into the U.S. Markets, the intended inflationary tactics instrumented by
the Federal Reserve, and the outflow of money from U.S. Treasuries into
undervalued sectors of the stock market. </span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">I think at
this point we can safely say that all bearish bets are off the table, for stocks that is. And
nearly every broad market average index is on the verge of ascending to new all
time highs, re-confirming the very expectation I outlined in post titled, “Are
we to Blame Nixon.” <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><o:p>Stocks:</o:p></span></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">At the
moment, however, the Stock market is likely looking at a consolidation period
very similar to the month of August before it resumes its advance higher. <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<div style="clear: both; text-align: left;">
<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">Since the Federal Reserve called to a halt a
forthcoming grueling market decline by announcing its new supportive stance on
aggressive monetary policy, I think it’s time that my
longstanding target of 1565, give or take 20 points on the S&P 500 will come
into fruition in the months ahead. </span></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi2Nob134XYxWJC3kHXE88HukU3OYIKA7b8HrofQuCs4XFOl-i24PYJ21oLNlQb7Qa5CWuh93oJSONwhkt_q_XTQHSKI4lzntxKUzGln6GPpzzcMN7AFVFM8JrNWL6uhThQYC9Msn0Gb7y3/s1600/stocks.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="206" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi2Nob134XYxWJC3kHXE88HukU3OYIKA7b8HrofQuCs4XFOl-i24PYJ21oLNlQb7Qa5CWuh93oJSONwhkt_q_XTQHSKI4lzntxKUzGln6GPpzzcMN7AFVFM8JrNWL6uhThQYC9Msn0Gb7y3/s400/stocks.jpg" width="400" /></a>
</div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">But when I
say 1565, we will be so close to the previous 2007 bull market highs that the political incentive to send prices to new all time highs is more likely. This would create an even bigger illusion of both “the richer effect” and a true
economic recovery.<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
Darahhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16478120790940269341noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2726269285097825806.post-55759110060697911392012-09-17T08:04:00.001-07:002012-11-07T14:15:58.758-08:00Flirting with a new Paradigm Shift <br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">It has been
my long expectation that the Federal Reserve would uplift a sagging financial
system by way of injecting more liquidly into our economic bloodstream. <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">On Thursday
September 13<sup>th,</sup> Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke announced Quantitative
Easing 3, initiating the purchase of 40 billion dollars in mortgage backed
securities per month on an open-ended basis. <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">A mechanical
breakdown of this style of Keynesian economics is quite intricate, so I will
explain only one chapter as it relates to our current fiscal model of growth.<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Essentially by
keeping rates at suppressed levels, homeowners are provided with the incentive
to refinance their existing mortgage rate. A lower rate will in turn cause you
to pay a lesser amount per month on your mortgage.</span></span><span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">This money
that you save will in theory be used to spend on products and services offered
by the very companies that create jobs in this country. </span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">But as you
know, any company with the purpose to accumulate generational wealth must be
equipped with expanding profit margins and increasing revenue streams over long
durations of time. This criterion is only possible when consumer demand is present.</span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">The problem
is that our current demographics do not quite support this natural cycle of
demand. The baby boom era still remains a large part of our population, and
many of them are either living on a fixed income or exiting the work force. Plus
you throw in the fact the rate of inflation is not keeping pace with their pay
checks and you have a recipe for disaster. </span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">So companies
that benefit from the short-term effects of monetary easing are only profiting from an economically self defeating model which artificially compromises the
absence of real demand. </span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 18pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Therefore
you will always have pockets of society that get left out, causing the poor to
get poorer and the rich to become richer. This development creates an even greater
separation of socioeconomic classes over time. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span></span></div>
Darahhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16478120790940269341noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2726269285097825806.post-85080482873836377262012-09-12T13:07:00.001-07:002012-09-22T06:07:36.418-07:00Resting on the Bernanke Decision<br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;"> Often is the case
that the dollar will reverse just before or within days of a major anticipated news
event. If I'm right, today's <span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">potential bottoming tail candlestick just shy of the Fed’s announcement tomorrow may be </span></span></span></span><span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">an indication of a Bernanke disappointment. On this basis, the dollar has bottomed and will likely undergo a sharp
upward reversal into the remainder of this week. </span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">If however the market likes
what it hears since now days language itself is a measure of stimulus, then expect to see a sharp 1 to 2 day downdraft which will finalize this current decline.</span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt; text-align: left;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;"><o:p><span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US;">Either way, I do not expect this deeply oversold condition to at all be making any accommodations for QE3 tomorrow, or anytime soon for that matter. </span></o:p></span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt; text-align: center;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;"><o:p><span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhKBrwDhFoq47cPOhdVyA2WYXDxazqOfe5pXjHkINw16fVDOFciQYUeELBvrD_DHvW0V7YmDyYykf69DsjF6EcN7h4fgnLkWCMq1CaFRJMrBsStSyBA4_n-8K0ibHaAeFhoFYLfWr6bWTqk/s1600/11.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="206" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhKBrwDhFoq47cPOhdVyA2WYXDxazqOfe5pXjHkINw16fVDOFciQYUeELBvrD_DHvW0V7YmDyYykf69DsjF6EcN7h4fgnLkWCMq1CaFRJMrBsStSyBA4_n-8K0ibHaAeFhoFYLfWr6bWTqk/s400/11.jpg" width="400" /></a></span></o:p></span></span></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj6J2L0LYC5Z-k1uQiQh00QBCtDc9wx9dkN8YZKmdkQsLnjgVB9H1FZ6drGSX00lDl-CeGlTedrbMvC_PKNZXEmIkar9MConpXv3f-cMaYraAR57N0n-7_zVT4R8z4B-CU51iUpiXdC6vz4/s1600/10.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"></a> </div>
<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US;"><span style="font-family: Times New Roman; font-size: small;">
</span></span><br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;">IF the
dollar does drop another day or two, Gold will likely make an advance to psychological
resistance at 1800 before marking a short-term top.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Otherwise, a top is in, and prices should initiate into a corrective phase over the next 3 to 4 weeks stalling at its 50 day moving average.</span></div>
<div style="text-align: left;">
<span style="font-family: Times New Roman; font-size: small;">
</span><span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US;">I also
want to emphasize that this upcoming pullback should reside anywhere between 1650 and 1700, but it may be the very LAST time this year we ever
see the metal price trading here again. The reason being
is a soon glory cross that will confirm the re-emergence of a new bull market. </span></div>
<div align="center" style="text-align: left;">
<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US;"></span> </div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj6J2L0LYC5Z-k1uQiQh00QBCtDc9wx9dkN8YZKmdkQsLnjgVB9H1FZ6drGSX00lDl-CeGlTedrbMvC_PKNZXEmIkar9MConpXv3f-cMaYraAR57N0n-7_zVT4R8z4B-CU51iUpiXdC6vz4/s1600/10.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="206" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj6J2L0LYC5Z-k1uQiQh00QBCtDc9wx9dkN8YZKmdkQsLnjgVB9H1FZ6drGSX00lDl-CeGlTedrbMvC_PKNZXEmIkar9MConpXv3f-cMaYraAR57N0n-7_zVT4R8z4B-CU51iUpiXdC6vz4/s400/10.jpg" width="400" /></a><span style="font-family: Times New Roman; font-size: small;">
</span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;">Say what you
want about moving averages, but they seemingly have provided as a worthwhile
indication of trend changes throughout history. And while no indicator is perfect,
judging by price alone, the yellow metal has certainly been acting very strong lately.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<span style="font-family: Times New Roman; font-size: small;">
</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;">I expect by mid October this cyclical turning point will be within a larger framework
of drastic inflationary measures pursued by all nations to artificially revive
their homeland currencies. Consequently, Gold will materialize into a
hyper-inflated market that decouples dramatically from all other asset classes.
</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;">Remember,
95% of people are not actually convinced of a GOLD BULL until the trend is in
its latter stages. And only then does it become too expensive to buy. The only arguable explanation that would end the bullish case is until real
rates surpass one, or at least when the public figures out that those levels
can be realized. </span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;">I don’t see
that happening anytime soon, do you?<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<span style="font-family: Times New Roman; font-size: small;">
</span></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhKBrwDhFoq47cPOhdVyA2WYXDxazqOfe5pXjHkINw16fVDOFciQYUeELBvrD_DHvW0V7YmDyYykf69DsjF6EcN7h4fgnLkWCMq1CaFRJMrBsStSyBA4_n-8K0ibHaAeFhoFYLfWr6bWTqk/s1600/11.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"></a> </div>
<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US;"></span><br />Darahhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16478120790940269341noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2726269285097825806.post-69162920976072070412012-09-07T14:25:00.000-07:002012-09-12T09:18:35.684-07:00Gold and Silver<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">We are currently
witnessing a short-term commodity run that is wildly bullish in both sentiment
and price. Suffice it to say, these pivotal times where Investors ignore risk,
and are overconfident in their decision making actually mark key turning points.</span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Gold and
silver have underwent a parabolic move, riding on the back of expected further easing from our Federal Reserve. This I can tell you will dissapoint many investors.</span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Consider
this analysis. </span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;"><span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">All metals are now more overbought than their previous peaks of months prior. I would not see this as a concern had this just been on a daily chart, but it’s clearly visible now on the weekly chart. <o:p></o:p></span></span></span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt; text-align: center;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Silver</span></span></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgT7C8aHN2ls417XKhAvdxalRSW58mLB2_IWMTQN8UutHoq6LLx0WDJtlpCAmUXz-koOZ2E7wqC7Bhw-qzmK1xYeMglU5efV5h23kHAW7aB9ivz3Y-a41aagRF-TxpqqeYQN452-b_x0AWe/s1600/11.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="206" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgT7C8aHN2ls417XKhAvdxalRSW58mLB2_IWMTQN8UutHoq6LLx0WDJtlpCAmUXz-koOZ2E7wqC7Bhw-qzmK1xYeMglU5efV5h23kHAW7aB9ivz3Y-a41aagRF-TxpqqeYQN452-b_x0AWe/s400/11.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<span style="font-size: large;">Gold</span></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiXcMdF8zWYTyE0knY7tHUqeH_MJZarY3CXtIfVA4UPtPS6OZ1t2TRrgqzaZur2vrm4t-sawQEQkeOTDj9PYBm9IqTvD1zzrhGiTps5n0bz9vNdmV57DXqQfffIqY2FvPDqTpKBg4Gd2aCa/s1600/10.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="206" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiXcMdF8zWYTyE0knY7tHUqeH_MJZarY3CXtIfVA4UPtPS6OZ1t2TRrgqzaZur2vrm4t-sawQEQkeOTDj9PYBm9IqTvD1zzrhGiTps5n0bz9vNdmV57DXqQfffIqY2FvPDqTpKBg4Gd2aCa/s400/10.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;"><o:p></o:p></span></span> </div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">This condition
certainly adds weight to the bearish case in the coming weeks.</span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%;"></span><span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 16pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US;">We may have a little more room to run for the very short-term, however, it would be unwise to overlook a
pullback or even deeper correction looming just ahead.</span></div>
Darahhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16478120790940269341noreply@blogger.com0