So why would such a scenario be so fitting for the current market we're in, you ask? Well, if I were to tell you that the Stock market is hinged on the performance of one stock, and that particular stock is in a parabolic, runaway move, would you be concerned? I know I would.
It would make sense for the strongest company of the market to have developed into a parallel uptrending channel which could allow investors to time an entry point on every pullback. However, the nature of the stock pattern suggests for a chase to buy. If this parabolic move breaks, and they all do, how would the stock market react? Even worse, right? So my point is, for the same reason the stock market has outperformed in these last several months may be for the same reason the stock market should undergo some turbulent times.
Oh and by the way, if you haven't already guessed by now, the stock is Apple.
Apple- Daily Chart
S&P 500- Daily Chart
Take that all you bull junkies out there!
Darah
Darah i dont think anything is going to happen in the market before the facebook IPO is done.Perhaps an APPLE TOP will coincide with that.
ReplyDeleteThe scariest chart I can EVER remember. And Cramer was only recently saying it was still a BUY just as he was when silver was 40+. See what happens when the MACD comes crashing back to earth!
ReplyDeletehttp://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=AAPL&p=W&b=5&g=0&id=p29788181259
As a Permabear, I do understand you annoyance with AAPL.
ReplyDeleteYet, relative to the main market, AAPL is 45% under-valued. The numbers are clear, AAPL is still CHEAP.
Yes the recent rise looks unsustainable, but then..AAPL was 75% under-valued relative to the main market. Why was it ever with just a PE or 8? That never made any sense to me, and I'm as negative on the hysteria as anyone out there.
-
I agree with NK' above, this nonsense rally looks set to continue until the Facebook IPO is done. As I've said a few times recently, the FB IPO would make for a nice 'marker' top, with at sp'1550.
Good wishes..and try to stay balanced, I realise its not easy.